Titlebook: Scenario Thinking; Preparing Your Organ George Cairns,George Wright Book 2018Latest edition The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s)

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Scenarios and Decision Analysis,d this be accomplished—especially when the organization has several objectives that it wishes to achieve? We then provide an introduction to a numerical analysis of the actions of powerful—and less-powerful—stakeholders as they react to particular scenarios in order to secure their own objectives ag

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The Backwards Logic Method of Constructing Extreme Scenarios and Considering Local Agency in Branchs. Recall that the steps include brainstorming the generation of critical uncertainties and predetermined driving forces that will have varying degrees of impact on the focal issue—often the viability of the focal organization. Recall, also, that the two scenario dimensions are selected from those c

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Diagnosing Organizational Receptiveness,thodology is chosen and then applied in a straightforward way to engage an organization’s key decision makers in thinking deeply about the future. In reality, organizational life is more complex and a scenario-based intervention that seems, on the face of it, to be uncontroversial and straightforwar

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Documenting Lessons Learned from Case Study Projects,al decades. Our focus is not on giving the full detail of individual projects or complete narratives of particular scenarios, but on illustrating important aspects of the scenario development process and, also, the pitfalls and problems that can occur in practice—complete with guidelines for how to

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Advanced Methods in Scenario Development: Uncovering Causality and Using the Delphi Method,sis within the workshop based scenario development process is, simply, on identifying ‘cause’. However, cause, in practice, is left undefined and, as such, workshop participants often use the proffered ‘arrows of influence’ in an unsophisticated, simplistic way, i.e., loosely and without specific direction by the workshop facilitator.