| 书目名称 | Scenario Thinking | | 副标题 | Preparing Your Organ | | 编辑 | George Cairns,George Wright | | 视频video | | | 概述 | Provides practical guidance for applying a range of scenario approaches to planning for uncertain future events.Presents international single-organization and multi-organizational case studies from th | | 图书封面 |  | | 描述 | .Develops scenario planning methods in ways that link scenario analysis to improved decision making, engage time-poor senior decision makers, attenuate decision makers’ tendency to deflect responsibility for bleak, negative scenario outcomes, and enhance causal analysis within scenario-storyline development...What if? Two of the most powerful – and frightening – words in business. Almost as bad as “I didn’t see that coming.” Some things that transform the marketplace overnight come from nowhere. Some things that create potentially critical under-performance are genuinely unforeseeable. Sometimes it is impossible to predict how a change in an organizational strategy will play out. Some things and sometimes – but not many and not often. ..Decision makers in organizations face more-and-more complex and ambiguous problems that need to be addressed under time pressure - and the need for practical decision support has become essential. The range of methods in this book will enable you to be prepared, proactive and resilient no matter what the future brings. ..Based on up-to-date academic research and years of application and iteration in the real world, this book, illustrated with exampl | | 出版日期 | Book 2018Latest edition | | 关键词 | Organisational Theory; Decision making; Problem solving; Scenario thinking; Management | | 版次 | 2 | | doi | https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-49067-0 | | isbn_softcover | 978-3-319-84078-9 | | isbn_ebook | 978-3-319-49067-0 | | copyright | The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s) 2018 |
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发表于 2025-3-21 17:31:30
