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Titlebook: Dynamic Demographic Analysis; Robert Schoen Book 2016 Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2016 Age-period-cohort analyses.Geogra

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Modeling the Dynamics of an HIV Epidemicrs and program planners design interventions, measure progress in the fight against HIV, and prepare for the future impact of the disease. To this end, we propose a model for sex- and age-specific projections of HIV prevalence that uses B-splines to model changes in HIV incidence. We are able to com
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Estimating the Demographic Dynamic of Small Areas with the Kalman Filterter, used to estimate the population without information on births, deaths or migration. The methodology proposed would make it possible to combine different sources of information, such as the census data and geographic information based on the evolution of the habitable area. One advantage of the
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Are the Pension Systems of Low Fertility Populations Sustainable?onment and on natural resources. On the other hand, it will also cause population aging and higher pension burdens of pay-as-you-go systems. Funded pension systems transfer cohorts’ saving to consumption and their pension burdens are invariant to fertility change. Comparing the difference between th
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