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Titlebook: Dynamic Demographic Analysis; Robert Schoen Book 2016 Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2016 Age-period-cohort analyses.Geogra

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Changing Mortality Patterns and Their Predictability: The Case of the United Statesmprovement) and (2) select reference countries in terms of their (a) overall level of mortality, (b) risk factor attributable mortality, and/or (c) cultural and political proximity, our model can also forecast long-term trend changes and accelerating increases in life expectancy.
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Are the Pension Systems of Low Fertility Populations Sustainable?arable to that of a pay-as-you-go system. This time-based cohort old-age dependency ratio can be computed for all the countries and areas of the world, using only demographic data. Examples are given for China, Japan and the Republic of Korea.
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Amplified Changes: An Analysis of Four Dynamic Fertility Modelsns behind each model provide insights into the forces that influence fertility. We present Ryder’s classic formulation of the translation between period and cohort measures of fertility, Lee’s moving-target model connecting fertility goals with period rates, the period-shift model of Bongaarts and F
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Revisiting Life Expectancy Rankings in Countries that Have Experienced Fast Mortality Declinetages of using actual cohorts (as opposed to synthetic cohorts) for building life tables, but uses all the available mortality information up to the present. Specifically, for each non-extinct cohort present in the population at time ., we calculate the cohort’s truncated life expectancy at birth, w
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