书目名称 | Using Fundamental Analysis and an Ensemble of Classifier Models Along with a Risk-Off Filter to Sele |
编辑 | Manuel Moura,Rui Neves |
视频video | |
概述 | Implementation of an ensemble of machine learning classifiers that forecasts which stocks will beat the market.Implementing a Risk-off filter that indicates high market risks.Study the precision of th |
丛书名称 | Synthesis Lectures on Technology Management & Entrepreneurship |
图书封面 |  |
描述 | .This book develops a quantitative stock market investment methodology using financial indicators that beats the benchmark of S&P500 index. To achieve this goal, an ensemble of machine learning models is meticulously constructed, incorporating four distinct algorithms: support vector machine, k-nearest neighbors, random forest, and logistic regression. These models all make use of financial ratios extracted from company financial statements for the purposes of predictive forecasting. The ensemble classifier is subject to a strict testing of precision which compares it to the performance of its constituent models separately. Rolling window and cross-validation tests are used in this evaluation in order to provide a comprehensive assessment framework. A risk-off filter is developed to limit risk during uncertain market periods, and consequently to improve the Sharpe ratio of the model. The risk adjusted performance of the final model, supported by the risk-off filter, achieves a Sharpe ratio of 1.63 which surpasses both the model’s performance without the filter that delivers Sharpe ratio of 1.41 and the one from the S&P500 index of 0.80. The substantial increase in risk-adjusted ret |
出版日期 | Book 2025 |
关键词 | Machine Learning; Computational Finance; Value Investing; Ensemble Method; Predictive Forecasting |
版次 | 1 |
doi | https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-62061-4 |
isbn_softcover | 978-3-031-62063-8 |
isbn_ebook | 978-3-031-62061-4Series ISSN 1933-978X Series E-ISSN 1933-9798 |
issn_series | 1933-978X |
copyright | The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerl |