Titlebook: Uncertainty and Surprise in Complex Systems; Questions on Working Reuben R. McDaniel,Dean J. Driebe Book 2005 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidel

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1 Uncertainty and Surprise: An Introduction,lity of situations is the result of a lack of information. This has led to an emphasis on uncertainty reduction through ever-increasing information seeking and processing, including better measurement and observational instrumentation. Pending uncertainty reduction through better information, effort

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4 The Evolutionary Complexity of Social Economic Systems: The Inevitability of Uncertainty and Surproblem, we need to understand how they “work” and to be able to explore the probable consequences of different possible policies or interventions. And this means that we need to “understand” how the underlying causality of a current social situation is operating, and how it might respond to some cha

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5 Managing the Unexpected: Complexity as Distributed Sensemaking,r the 21st Century.” They described their central challenge this way: “because we do not know what new diseases will arise, we must always be prepared for the unexpected” (p. vii). Soon after they published that statement CDC was confronted with an unexpected emerging disease, the West Nile Virus, w

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8 The Tyranny of Many Dimensionless Constants: A Constraint on Knowability, is based on dimensional analysis and I hope to show how dimensionless constants can be used to quantify the complexity of systems and indirectly show the difficulty associated with extracting information and knowledge from such phenomenon.

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9 A View from the Inside: The Task of Managing Uncertainty and Surprise,ause I am not a social scientist; I am not even a natural scientist. I’m an engineer! As you know, engineers do things and reflect upon what happened afterwards. And this happened to me. I want to give you a little story of what we do so that you understand what gave me the insight to be here. Actua

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