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Titlebook: In Search of Economic Indicators; Essays on Business S Werner H. Strigel Conference proceedings 1977 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 1977

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书目名称In Search of Economic Indicators
副标题Essays on Business S
编辑Werner H. Strigel
视频video
丛书名称Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems
图书封面Titlebook: In Search of Economic Indicators; Essays on Business S Werner H. Strigel Conference proceedings 1977 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 1977
描述The object of this collection of essays is to acquaint the English­ speaking reader with the work of the IFO Institute for Economic Re­ search, tlunich, in the field of business cycle surveys. These written surveys of about 10,000 businessmen in the West German economy collect information which is not otherwise contained in the official statis­ tics. The information in question primarily involves entrepreneurial judgements and anticipations (plans and expectations). These variables have proved to be very useful for economic diagnosis and prognosis. In the meantime, the survey methods developed by the IFO Institute have been adopted by 16 different countries throughout the world. The monthly business cycle surveys carried out by the EEC Commission, Brussels, in the industries of the member countries are also based to a large extent on the IFO methods. This is the first publication in English to furnish a comprehensive review of the IFO survey technique and the possibilities of utilization of this survey method in business cycle research. Efforts to develop new economic indicators on the basis of judgement and anticipation data have not yet terminated; many theoretical and methodical
出版日期Conference proceedings 1977
关键词Konjunkturindikator; Research on business cycles; business cycle indicators; distribution; production
版次1
doihttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-48304-2
isbn_softcover978-3-540-08346-7
isbn_ebook978-3-642-48304-2Series ISSN 0075-8442 Series E-ISSN 2196-9957
issn_series 0075-8442
copyrightSpringer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 1977
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https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-48304-2Konjunkturindikator; Research on business cycles; business cycle indicators; distribution; production
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Expectations Curbing Growth,The climate of entrepreneurs’ opinion in the Federal Republic of Germany has steadily deteriorated during the last four business cycles according to the IFO Institute’s Business Survey.. These changes in the perceptions and expectations of German businessmen can be explained to some extent by the effects of negative psychosocial stimuli.
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0075-8442 ch, tlunich, in the field of business cycle surveys. These written surveys of about 10,000 businessmen in the West German economy collect information which is not otherwise contained in the official statis­ tics. The information in question primarily involves entrepreneurial judgements and anticipat
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,The “Business Climate” as Leading Indicator, on hook measured in months of production), special mention should he made of the evaluation and anticipation variahles of the IFO Business Survey. Those variables represent the entrepreneurs’ evaluations of and reactions on economic events.
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Integrating the IFO Business Surveys into the Framework of Entrepreneurial Variables,thus facilitated and relationships found may be optically located more readily. The schedule developed below should serve this purpose. This paper will give a description of the arrangement and the specific contents of this schedule.
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Forecasting Capital Expenditure with Plan Data,mount to extrapolation of the existing trend, for instance by exponential smoothing, are therefore bound to fail. But even methods based on explicit models, designed to explain private investment activity, have not as yet led to successful solutions of this forecasting problem.
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