Titlebook: Experts, Social Scientists, and Techniques of Prognosis in Cold War America; Christian Dayé Book 2020 The Editor(s) (if applicable) and Th

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Book 2020ion, an American think tank with close relations to the armed forces, Dayé analyses the development of two techniques of prognosis, the Delphi technique and Political Gaming. ..Based on archival research and interviews, the chapters explore the history of this series of experiments to understand how

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Book 2020 to craft prognoses...This consideration of the expert’s role in Cold War society and what that can tell us about the role of the expert today will be of interest to students and scholars across the history of science, the sociology of knowledge, future studies, the history of the Cold War, social science methodology, and social policy. .

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Biki Kumar Behera,Neeraj Agarwalpublic profited from the assurance that science was there to level out possible irrationalities in elite decision-making processes. And finally, the scientific experts profited from the authority accredited to them, and tried their best to nurture it.

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,The Oracle’s Epistemology: Expert Opinions as Scientific Material, 1955–1960,n expert opinions and scientific hypotheses. They argue that provided a shared set of evidence exists, a group of experts can assess the degree of which this set of evidence confirms a given hypothesis.

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https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4899-0457-7further increased the amount of hope and trust in its abilities. This hope met with the need of foreknowledge for decision-making. Considerable effort was spent at the RAND Corporation to develop techniques of prognosis that made systematic use of expert opinions to deliver ideas on the future.