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Titlebook: Expert Judgment and Expert Systems; Jeryl L. Mumpower (Associate Professor),Ortwin Ren Conference proceedings 1987 Springer-Verlag Berlin

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书目名称Expert Judgment and Expert Systems
编辑Jeryl L. Mumpower (Associate Professor),Ortwin Ren
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丛书名称NATO ASI Subseries F:
图书封面Titlebook: Expert Judgment and Expert Systems;  Jeryl L. Mumpower (Associate Professor),Ortwin Ren Conference proceedings 1987 Springer-Verlag Berlin
描述This volume is an outgrowth of a NATO Advanced Research Workshop on "Expert Judgment and Expert Systems," held in Porto, Portugal, August 1986. Support for the Workshop was provided by the NATO Division of Scientific Affairs, the U.S. Army Research Institute, and the U.S. National Science Foundation. The Workshop brought together researchers from the fields of psychology, decision analysis, and artificial intelligence. The purposes were to assess similarities, differences, and complementarities among the three approaches to the study of expert judgment; to evaluate their relative strengths and weaknesses; and to propose profitable linkages between them. Each of the papers in the present volume is directed toward one or more of those goals. We wish to express our appreciation and thanks to the following persons for their support and assistance: John Adams, Vincent T. Covello, Luis da Cunha, Claire Jeseo, B. Michael Kantrowitz, Margaret Lally, Judith Orasanu, R. M. Rodrigues, and Sandor P. Schuman.
出版日期Conference proceedings 1987
关键词artificial intelligence; decision support; decision support system; expert system; intelligence; knowledg
版次1
doihttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-86679-1
isbn_softcover978-3-642-86681-4
isbn_ebook978-3-642-86679-1Series ISSN 0258-1248
issn_series 0258-1248
copyrightSpringer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 1987
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Großforschung mit kleinen Teilchenxt, the media often play the role of transmitter and translator of information about health and environmental risks, but have been criticized for exaggerating risks and emphasizing drama over scientific facts.
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Principles of the Analytic Hierarchy Process familiar terminology, conscious thought appears to differ from affective thought in that it is directed, checked against feedback, evaluated in terms of its effectiveness in advancing specific goals, and protected from drift by deliberately controlled attention by the thinker [16].
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Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence: Is Probability Epistemologically and Heuristically Adequate?er, 1976). There have also been attempts to develop non-numerical schemes, including Paul Cohen’s theory of endorsements (Cohen, 1985), Doyle’s theory of reasoned assumptions (Doyle, 1983), and various linguistic representations of uncertainty (Fox, 1986). We shall refer to both probabilistic and alternative methods, generically, as ., or UISs.
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Bogdan Murgescu,Andrei Florin Sora has significant advantages that could be usefully adapted by the other. This article focuses on how decision analysis could appropriately be used to improve the potential usefulness of expert systems designed for decision support.
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Stadtentwicklung und Stadtteilverfall,rovides a yet unrecognized means for developing what are in essence very simple expert systems. Moreover, current efforts in the field of expert systems could be profitably informed by the accumulated results and experience of many years of research by students of the psychology of expert judgment.
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