Titlebook: Expert Judgement in Risk and Decision Analysis; Anca M. Hanea,Gabriela F. Nane,Simon French Book 2021 Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2021

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Expert Judgement for Geological Hazards in New Zealandrming decision-making. The problems are complex and usually require input from experts from different sub-disciplines. Expert judgement, like all human cognitive processes, is prone to biases. Therefore, we aim to use methods that are robust, transparent, reproducible and help reduce biases. The Cla

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Growth, Distribution and Political Changeta is unavailable for certain regions of the probability space. Such methods are now widely developed, well understood, and have been used to model systems in a variety of domains including climate change, food insecurity, and nuclear risk assessment Barons et al. (.), Rougier and Crucifix (.), Hane

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The Omega Society: A Dynamic Modelast the actions of competitors based on expert knowledge. This is relevant in areas such as cybersecurity, security, defence and business competition. As a consequence, we present a structured approach to facilitate the elicitation of probabilities over the actions of other intelligent agents by dec