| 书目名称 | Expert Judgement in Risk and Decision Analysis |
| 编辑 | Anca M. Hanea,Gabriela F. Nane,Simon French |
| 视频video | |
| 概述 | Contributions of Roger Cooke and the Classical Model, as well as a section on Training and Education.Based on the COST (European Cooperation in Science & Technology) Action on “Expert Judgement”.Analy |
| 丛书名称 | International Series in Operations Research & Management Science |
| 图书封面 |  |
| 描述 | This book pulls together many perspectives on the theory, methods and practice of drawing judgments from panels of experts in assessing risks and making decisions in complex circumstances. The book is divided into four parts: Structured Expert Judgment (SEJ) current research fronts; the contributions of Roger Cooke and the Classical Model he developed; process, procedures and education; and applications..After an Introduction by the Editors, the first part presents chapters on expert elicitation of parameters of multinomial models; the advantages of using performance weighting by advancing the “random expert” hypothesis; expert elicitation for specific graphical models; modelling dependencies between experts’ assessments within a Bayesian framework; preventive maintenance optimization in a Bayesian framework; eliciting life time distributions to parametrize a Dirichlet process; and on an adversarial risk analysis approach for structured expert judgment studies..The second part includes Roger Cooke’s oration from 1995 on taking up his chair at Delft University of Technology; one of the editors reflections on the early decade of the Classical Model development and use; a current over |
| 出版日期 | Book 2021 |
| 关键词 | Structured Expert Judgement (SEJ); Elicitation; Structural Elicitation; Adversarial Risk Analysis (ARA) |
| 版次 | 1 |
| doi | https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-46474-5 |
| isbn_softcover | 978-3-030-46476-9 |
| isbn_ebook | 978-3-030-46474-5Series ISSN 0884-8289 Series E-ISSN 2214-7934 |
| issn_series | 0884-8289 |
| copyright | Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2021 |
发表于 2025-3-21 18:21:55
