Titlebook: Envisioning Uncertain Futures; Scenarios as a Tool Roman Peperhove,Karlheinz Steinmüller,Hans-Liudger Book 2018 Springer Fachmedien Wiesba

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Surprising Scenarios. Imagination as a Dimension of Foresight,e fiction. Both follow the principle of “What if…” and both are aimed at imagining surprising events or developments. In both cases, thought experiment starts with an assumption – the invented wild card or the novum of science fiction (element of difference to our real world) and searches for possib

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Security 2025: Scenarios as an Instrument for Dialogue,future social and political developments resulting from the actions of science, politics, end-users and society usually are not elements of these scenarios. In contrast to this, the scenario process “Security 2025” of the Research Forum on Public Safety and Security was aimed to relate broader visio

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Didactical Functions of Dark and Bright Scenarios: Examples from the European Transport Industry,situation, could have a very high motivational effect, e.g. a didactical function, especially if they are largely debated well beyond the stakeholder milieu. We argue that in the cases here presented, dark scenarios often lead to activities to avoid their realization. The example of the European tra

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The Use of SWOT Analysis for Future Scenarios: A Case Study of Privacy and Emerging Technologies, systematic way. This method was developed by using the original future-oriented SWOT method in order to analyze scenarios that examined the future relationship between privacy and emerging technologies. Based on researchers’ experiences from the use of the original method, two limitations were iden

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