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Titlebook: Elicitation; The Science and Art Luis C. Dias,Alec Morton,John Quigley Book 2018 Springer International Publishing AG 2018 Preference Elic

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书目名称Elicitation
副标题The Science and Art
编辑Luis C. Dias,Alec Morton,John Quigley
视频video
概述First book to examine the broad range of elicitation processes.Requires minimal mathematical expertise.All three editors are prominent scholars in the field
丛书名称International Series in Operations Research & Management Science
图书封面Titlebook: Elicitation; The Science and Art  Luis C. Dias,Alec Morton,John Quigley Book 2018 Springer International Publishing AG 2018 Preference Elic
描述.This book is about elicitation: the .facilitation of the quantitative expression of subjective judgement. about matters of fact, interacting with subject experts, or about matters of value, interacting with decision makers or stakeholders. It offers an integrated presentation of procedures and processes that allow analysts and experts to think clearly about numbers, particularly the inputs for decision support systems and models. This presentation encompasses research originating in the communities of structured probability elicitation/calibration and multi-criteria decision analysis, often unaware of each other’s developments..Chapters 2 through 9 focus on processes to elicit uncertainty from experts, including the Classical Method for aggregating judgements from multiple experts concerning probability distributions; the issue of validation in the Classical Method; the Sheffield elicitation framework; the IDEA protocol; approaches following the Bayesian perspective; themain elements of structured expert processes for dependence elicitation; and how mathematical methods can incorporate correlations between experts..Chapters 10 through 14 focus on processes to elicit preferences fr
出版日期Book 2018
关键词Preference Elicitation; Expert Judgment; Multi Criteria Decision Analysis; Decision Analysis; Cooke Meth
版次1
doihttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-65052-4
isbn_softcover978-3-319-87937-6
isbn_ebook978-3-319-65052-4Series ISSN 0884-8289 Series E-ISSN 2214-7934
issn_series 0884-8289
copyrightSpringer International Publishing AG 2018
The information of publication is updating

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American Sea Fiction: Cooper, Poe, Dana, aiding conclusions. An application example on job evaluation is elaborated as an educative example, while other potential areas for future use applications of the methodological framework are listed. The chapter concludes with several promising directions for future research.
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https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-55099-2pters in the book, which, we argue, shows that there is a huge body of knowledge and expertise about how to elicit both probabilities and preferences in important social problems, and conclude with future trends that make the subject of this book (in our view) particularly timely.
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