Titlebook: Decision Science and Technology; Reflections on the C James Shanteau,Barbara A. Mellers,David A. Schum Book 1999 Springer Science+Business

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Probabilistic Reasoning and the Science of Complexityg. At present there are various accounts of what complexity means and how it emerges. In some studies it is observed that simple processes can produce complex phenomena; in others, it is observed that what we often regard as simple phenomena are the result of complex processes. But these observation

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https://doi.org/10.1007/978-90-313-6308-7 and cumulative independence, are proposed to test original prospect theory and cumulative prospect theory. Violations of distribution independence refute original prospect theory and a multiplicative configurai weight model. Experimental results also show violations of cumulative independence and s

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Curtis C. Travis,Samantha A. Richterg. At present there are various accounts of what complexity means and how it emerges. In some studies it is observed that simple processes can produce complex phenomena; in others, it is observed that what we often regard as simple phenomena are the result of complex processes. But these observation

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Denise Bodden,Carmen Dirksen,Susan Bögelsted decision making [Heckerman et al., 1992; Breese et al., 1992; Abramson et al., 1996]. Interest in these methods has been motivated by the recognition that heuristic decision making in complex uncertain environments can lead to suboptimal choices [Tversky and Kahneman, 1974; Kleinmuntz, 1985]. No

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