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Titlebook: Decision Science and Technology; Reflections on the C James Shanteau,Barbara A. Mellers,David A. Schum Book 1999 Springer Science+Business

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书目名称Decision Science and Technology
副标题Reflections on the C
编辑James Shanteau,Barbara A. Mellers,David A. Schum
视频video
图书封面Titlebook: Decision Science and Technology; Reflections on the C James Shanteau,Barbara A. Mellers,David A. Schum Book 1999 Springer Science+Business
描述.Decision Science and Technology. is a compilation ofchapters written in honor of a remarkable man, Ward Edwards. AmongWard‘s many contributions are two significant accomplishments, eitherof which would have been enough for a very distinguished career.First, Ward is the founder of behavioral decision theory. Thisinterdisciplinary discipline addresses the question of how peopleactually confront decisions, as opposed to the question of how theyshould make decisions. Second, Ward laid the groundwork for soundnormative systems by noticing which tasks humans can do well and whichtasks computers should perform. This volume, organized into fiveparts, reflects those accomplishments and more. .The book is divided into four sections: `Behavioral Decision Theory‘examines theoretical descriptions and empirical findings about humandecision making. `Decision Analysis‘ examines topics in decisionanalysis.`Decision in Society‘ explores issues in societal decisionmaking. The final section, `Historical Notes‘, provides somehistorical perspectives on the development of the decision theory.Within these sections, major, multi-disciplinary scholars in decisiontheory have written chapters exploring some
出版日期Book 1999
关键词Analysis; Attribut; Measure; Probability distribution; complexity; heuristics; linear optimization; object
版次1
doihttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4615-5089-1
isbn_softcover978-1-4613-7315-5
isbn_ebook978-1-4615-5089-1
copyrightSpringer Science+Business Media New York 1999
The information of publication is updating

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The Paradoxes of Allais, Stochastic Dominance, and Decision Weightss, which is evidence against expected utility theory, can be interpreted as a joint test of branch independence (a weaker version of Savage’s axiom), coalescing (equal outcomes can be combined by adding their probabilities), and transitivity. Thus, this paradox can be explained in several ways. One
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How Good are Fast and Frugal Heuristics? Two concepts from the other end of the spectrum, simplicity and frugality, have also inspired models of cognition. These fast and frugal models are justified by their psychological plausibility and adaptedness to natural environments. For example, the real world provides only scarce information, th
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A Robust Bayesian Look at the Theory of Precise Measurementtheory of robust Bayesian analysis. The key points of the former are the concept of “actual” prior and bounds for the errors when replacing the actual prior by a uniform prior. The class of “actual” priors is characterized as a band of probability measures and the above bounds are improved.
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