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Titlebook: Crowding Out Fiscal Stimulus; Testing the Effectiv John J. Heim Book 2017 The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s) 2017 statistical

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Does the Gale and Orszag Hypothesis Explain Tax and Spending Effects Better in Recessions Than Non-more true in recessions than non-recession periods. Eight models were tested. The hypothesis that some forms of stimulus might be more effective than others in recessions compared to non-recession periods was not found to be supported by the data. No type of stimulus was found effective in either ty
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Summary of Findings and Conclusions,ffects of deficit-financed government stimulus programs more than fully offset the stimulus effects of these deficits. Both stimulus and crowd out effects were separately measured in the econometric tests..Results also indicated that the type of tax cut or spending program did not matter, and that t
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Developmental Morphographemics IIIt notes that the models tested were all standard Keynesian models, so as to ensure that evidence that stimulus programs worked had a fair chance to present itself. Discusses how various econometric problems like stationarity, endogeneity, multicollinearity and heteroskedasticity were handled. Discu
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Virginia A. Mann,Raymond R. Baliseconsumption as well as a stimulus effect. The models included 21 OLS and 26 2SLS models, and 48 tests of the robustness of those results by testing to see if results could be replicated in three different but overlapping time periods. Results overwhelmingly indicated crowd out adversely affected con
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Philip A. Luelsdorff,Sergej V. Chesnokovmulus programs are enacted, from $0.47–$0.89 per dollar of tax cut-induced deficit, to between $0.35–$0.57 per dollar of spending increase-induced deficit. The effect of American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 (the Obama stimulus program) is calculated. It was estimated to have negatively aff
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