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Titlebook: Coping with Uncertainty; Modeling and Policy Kurt Marti,Yuri Ermoliev,Georg Pflug Conference proceedings 2006 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heide

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General Equilibrium Models with Discrete Choices in a Spatial Continuumth a general equilibrium version in which all consumers meet their own budget, and a welfare maximizing version with transfers adjusting among consumer groups for which we formulate a dual approach that solely depends on a finite number of prices.
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Stochastic Programming Based PERT Modelingso get an estimated project completion time what is attainable with the same prescribed probability. Numerical examples will be given for comparing the traditional and the newly introduced PERT modeling techniques.
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Conference proceedings 2006ated by actions, policies. The complexity of new problems does not allow to achieve enough certainty by increasing the resolution of models or by bringing in more links. Hence, new tools for modeling and management of uncertainty are needed, as given in this book. .
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Statistical Analysis of Catastrophic Eventsnatural catastrophes. Together these sets should provide ample proof that extreme value analysis might be able to catch some essential information that traditional statistical analysis might overlook. We finish with a number of cautious remarks.
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Learning Geography in the Absence of Sight without any generally accepted definition. In this paper we suggest to exploit the contamination technique to give the “stress test” a more precise meaning. Using examples from portfolio and risk management we shall point out the directly applicable cases and will discuss also limitations of the proposed method.
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The Romance of Science and Medicine, and describe an interpretation method exploiting these. The approach offers arbitrary reasoning facilities, where low level perceptive information as well as abstract context knowledge within scenes can be either given as evidence or queried.
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The Romance of Science and Medicine,imax control problem is formulated and solved. The explicit expressions for the optimal control (both open-loop and feedback) are obtained that provide the minimax to the given performance index for arbitrary but bounded disturbances. Examples are given.
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