书目名称 | Coping with Uncertainty | 副标题 | Modeling and Policy | 编辑 | Kurt Marti,Yuri Ermoliev,Georg Pflug | 视频video | | 丛书名称 | Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems | 图书封面 |  | 描述 | .Ongoing global changes bring fundamentally new scientific problems requiring new concepts and tools. A key issue concerns a vast variety of practically irreducible uncertainties, which challenge our traditional models and require new concepts and analytical tools. The uncertainty critically dominantes, e.g., the climate change debates. In short, the dilemma is concerned with enormous costs vs. massive uncertainties of potential extreme impacts. Traditional scientific approaches usually rely on real observations and experiments. Yet no sufficient observations exist for new problems, and "pure" experiments and learning by doing may be very expensive, dangerous, or simply impossible. In addition, available historical observations are contaminated by actions, policies. The complexity of new problems does not allow to achieve enough certainty by increasing the resolution of models or by bringing in more links. Hence, new tools for modeling and management of uncertainty are needed, as given in this book. . | 出版日期 | Conference proceedings 2006 | 关键词 | Analysis; Monte Carlo Simulation; Statistical Analysis; Stochastic Optimization; Stochastic Programming; | 版次 | 1 | doi | https://doi.org/10.1007/3-540-35262-7 | isbn_softcover | 978-3-540-35258-7 | isbn_ebook | 978-3-540-35262-4Series ISSN 0075-8442 Series E-ISSN 2196-9957 | issn_series | 0075-8442 | copyright | Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2006 |
The information of publication is updating
|
|