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Titlebook: An Econometric Model of the US Economy; Structural Analysis John J. Heim Book 2017 The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s) 2017 en

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发表于 2025-3-21 18:28:41 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
期刊全称An Econometric Model of the US Economy
期刊简称Structural Analysis
影响因子2023John J. Heim
视频videohttp://file.papertrans.cn/155/154912/154912.mp4
发行地址Connects behavioral equations into a comprehensive model of the real US economy.Includes comprehensive comparisons of results from older Cowles model and newer VAR and DSGE models.Features 75 variable
图书封面Titlebook: An Econometric Model of the US Economy; Structural Analysis  John J. Heim Book 2017 The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s) 2017 en
影响因子This book explores the US economy from 1960 to 2010 using a more Keynsian, Cowles model approach, which the author argues has substantial advantages over the vector autoregression (VAR) and dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models used almost exclusively today. Heim presents a robust argument in favor of the Cowles model as an answer to the pressing, unresolved methodological question of how to accurately model the macroeconomy so that policymakers can reliably use these models to assist their decision making. Thirty-eight behavioral equations, describing determinants of variables such as consumption, taxes, and government spending, are connected by eighteen identities to construct a comprehensive model of the real US economy that Heim then tests across four different time periods to ensure that results are consistent. This comprehensive demonstration of the value of a long-ignored model provides overwhelming evidence that the more Keynesian (Cowles) structural models outperform VAR and DSGE, and therefore should be the models of choice in future macroeconomic studies.     .
Pindex Book 2017
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发表于 2025-3-21 22:05:46 | 显示全部楼层
t. This comprehensive demonstration of the value of a long-ignored model provides overwhelming evidence that the more Keynesian (Cowles) structural models outperform VAR and DSGE, and therefore should be the models of choice in future macroeconomic studies.     .978-3-319-84460-2978-3-319-50681-4
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Literature Review-scale models of the economy: Klein and Evans (.. Philadelphia: Wharton School of Finance and Commerce, University of Pennsylvania, 1968), Eckstein (.. New York: McGraw-Hill Book Company, 1983), The Federal Reserve (1996), and Fair (.. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 2004).
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The Consumption Modelses. Key determinants were found to be disposable income, “crowd out” due to government deficits (which reduces consumer borrowing), interest rates, wealth, population growth, past savings, and access to borrowing. Other models developed and tested include consumption of imports, durable goods, nondu
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The Savings Functionsodels are developed and tested for each. The principal determinants of corporate saving were found to be the accelerator and “crowd out,” both of which negatively impacted corporate savings. Depreciation savings was found to be almost totally explained by prior years’ investment levels. Personal sav
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Converting the Older Keynesian IS-LM Model To The More Modern AS-AD Interpretation Of The Keynesian some IS-LM. We simply rephrase the equation to read V = (P/M)Y, substitute in the GDP equation determinants and their coefficients given in Chapter 8. Once done, the model easily shows that fiscal policy stimulates velocity (if no crowd out variable is included in the model), or leave velocity the s
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