Titlebook: A Practitioner‘s Guide to State and Local Population Projections; Stanley K. Smith,Jeff Tayman,David A. Swanson Book 2013 Springer Science

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Helmut Maier,Michael Th. Rassiaspopulations and have changed considerably over time. The potential for substantial changes within a relatively short time makes it more difficult to construct accurate forecasts of fertility rates than mortality rates. In this chapter, we describe several fertility measures and discuss two different

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Undergraduate Texts in Mathematicsy considerably from place to place and change over time, however, making it difficult to forecast migration accurately. In this chapter, we discuss a variety of concepts, measures, and definitions of mobility and migration. We describe data sources that can be used to collect migration information a

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https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-77036-9tion, the three components of population change. In this chapter, we describe how to put these components together in a complete projection model. We begin with a discussion of several issues that must be considered when setting up a cohort-component model. Then, we present three step-by-step exampl

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Taylorapproximationen und Potenzreihen,must be adjusted to account for confounding characteristics or events. One common adjustment is for special populations such as college students and prison inmates. There are also circumstances in which a set of projections must be controlled to an independent projection or adjusted to provide addit

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https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4757-3559-8 may make. Given the many critical decisions based on those projections, it is essential to evaluate the forecast accuracy and bias of commonly used projection methods. This chapter provides such an evaluation. We start with a description and discussion of various statistics that can be used to meas

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