期刊全称 | A Practitioner‘s Guide to State and Local Population Projections | 影响因子2023 | Stanley K. Smith,Jeff Tayman,David A. Swanson | 视频video | | 发行地址 | Covers both the methodology and analysis of population projections.Includes projections of population-related variables (e.g., school enrollment).Focuses on problems unique to small areas | 学科分类 | The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis | 图书封面 |  | 影响因子 | This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and local population projections. It describes the most commonly used data sources and application techniques for four types of projection methods: cohort-component, trend extrapolation, structural models, and microsimulation. It covers the components of population growth, sources of data, the formation of assumptions, the development of evaluation criteria, and the determinants of forecast accuracy. It considers the strengths and weaknesses of various projection methods and pays special attention to the unique problems that characterize small-area projections. The authors provide practical guidance to demographers, planners, market analysts, and others called on to construct state and local population projections. They use many examples and illustrations and present suggestions for dealing with special populations, unique circumstances, and inadequate or unreliable data. They describe techniques for controlling one set of projections to another, for interpolating between time points, for sub-dividing age groups, and for constructing projections of population-related variables (e.g., school enrollment, households). They | Pindex | Book 2013 |
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