Titlebook: What About the Future?; New Perspectives on Fred Phillips Book 2019 Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2019 Theory of forecasting.Risk and unc

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Analytics and the Future,ce–performance curves, it addresses demographic forecasting, Kondratieff waves, and real options. The chapter concludes by showing why automating some white-collar functions can resolve the principal-agent problem.

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Expertise and the Future,rts to look for answers only within their field of expertise—known as “hypocognition”—is noted. The chapter closes by describing a large expert survey which concludes medical and computer sciences are expected to produce the most potential for scientific breakthroughs in the next 35 years.

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Prediction and Planning,tinues with observations about the practicality of very long-range plans and forecasting. It concludes by demonstrating why “What do I know about the future?” can be a less useful question than “How fast am I learning more about the future?”

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