| 书目名称 | Uncertainties and Limitations in Simulating Tropical Cyclones |
| 编辑 | Asuka Suzuki-Parker |
| 视频video | |
| 概述 | Nominated by the Georgia Univesity of Technology for a Springer Theses Prize.This work investigates how tropical cyclone intensity will change over the next 50 years - a question of high interest to i |
| 丛书名称 | Springer Theses |
| 图书封面 |  |
| 描述 | The thesis work was in two major parts: development and testing of a new approach to detecting and .tracking tropical cyclones in climate models; and application of an extreme value statistical approach to .enable assessment of changes in weather extremes from climate models. .The tracking algorithm applied a creative phase-space approach to differentiate between modeled tropical .cyclones and their mid-latitude cousins. A feature here was the careful attention to sensitivity to choice of .selection parameters, which is considerable. The major finding was that the changes over time were .relatively insensitive to these details. This new approach will improve and add confidence to future .assessments of climate impacts on hurricanes. .The extremes approach utilized the Generalized Pareto Distribution (one of the standard approaches to .statistics of extremes) applied to present and future hurricane distributions as modeled by a regional .climate model, then applied the changes to current observations to extract the changes in the extremes. .Since climate models cannot resolve these extremes directly, this provides an excellent method of .determining weather extremes in general. This |
| 出版日期 | Book 2012 |
| 关键词 | Generalized Pareto Distribution; climate model; statistics; tropical cyclones; weather extremes; meteorol |
| 版次 | 1 |
| doi | https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-25029-3 |
| isbn_softcover | 978-3-662-50872-5 |
| isbn_ebook | 978-3-642-25029-3Series ISSN 2190-5053 Series E-ISSN 2190-5061 |
| issn_series | 2190-5053 |
| copyright | Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2012 |
发表于 2025-3-21 18:47:58
