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Titlebook: Topics in Statistical Simulation; Research Papers from V.B. Melas,Stefania Mignani,Luigi Salmaso Conference proceedings 2014 Springer Scien

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Importance Sampling for Multi-Constraints Rare Event Probability,riance estimator. This paper presents a new way to handle the estimation of the probability of a rare event defined by the fact that the empirical mean of summands of a random walk belongs to a measurable set. We provide a sharp approximation of the optimal conditional density on long runs.
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,A Method for Selection of the Optimal Bandwidth Parameter for Beran’s Nonparametric Estimator,r, we give the detailed analysis of the selection method for the bandwidth parameter, which is based on minimization of the distance of failure times from kernel estimate of the inverse reliability function. The accuracy of the Beran estimator is studied depending on the plan of experiment (the samp
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Timely Indices for Residential Construction Sector,escribed and a cointegrated vector autoregressive model is estimated in order to establish statistical significant relationships between Internet indicators and target series by official agencies. The proposed methodology can therefore fill the temporal gap in released publications and provides time
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Conference proceedings 2014ity of Padova, the Department of Statistical Modelling of Saint Petersburg State University, and INFORMS Simulation Society sponsored the Seventh Workshop on Simulation. This international conference was devoted to statistical techniques in stochastic simulation, data collection, analysis of scienti
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