书目名称 | The Logical Foundations of Statistical Inference | 编辑 | Henry E. Kyburg | 视频video | | 丛书名称 | Synthese Library | 图书封面 |  | 描述 | Everyone knows it is easy to lie with statistics. It is important then to be able to tell a statistical lie from a valid statistical inference. It is a relatively widely accepted commonplace that our scientific knowledge is not certain and incorrigible, but merely probable, subject to refinement, modifi cation, and even overthrow. The rankest beginner at a gambling table understands that his decisions must be based on mathematical ex pectations - that is, on utilities weighted by probabilities. It is widely held that the same principles apply almost all the time in the game of life. If we turn to philosophers, or to mathematical statisticians, or to probability theorists for criteria of validity in statistical inference, for the general principles that distinguish well grounded from ill grounded generalizations and laws, or for the interpretation of that probability we must, like the gambler, take as our guide in life, we find disagreement, confusion, and frustration. We might be prepared to find disagreements on a philosophical and theoretical level (although we do not find them in the case of deductive logic) but we do not expect, and we may be surprised to find, that these the | 出版日期 | Book 1974 | 关键词 | conditional; decision theory; foundation; interpret; probability; subject | 版次 | 1 | doi | https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-010-2175-3 | isbn_softcover | 978-90-277-0430-6 | isbn_ebook | 978-94-010-2175-3Series ISSN 0166-6991 Series E-ISSN 2542-8292 | issn_series | 0166-6991 | copyright | Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 1974 |
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