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Titlebook: Nonlinear Modeling of Solar Radiation and Wind Speed Time Series; Luigi Fortuna,Giuseppe Nunnari,Silvia Nunnari Book 2016 The Author(s) 20

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书目名称Nonlinear Modeling of Solar Radiation and Wind Speed Time Series
编辑Luigi Fortuna,Giuseppe Nunnari,Silvia Nunnari
视频video
概述Shows the researcher and practising engineer how to use time-series forecasting to help integrate intermittent sources of renewable power into the grid.Teaches students the essentials of applied time-
丛书名称SpringerBriefs in Energy
图书封面Titlebook: Nonlinear Modeling of Solar Radiation and Wind Speed Time Series;  Luigi Fortuna,Giuseppe Nunnari,Silvia Nunnari Book 2016 The Author(s) 20
描述.This brief is a clear, concise description of the main techniques of time series analysis —stationary, autocorrelation, mutual information, fractal and multifractal analysis, chaos analysis, etc.— as they are applied to the influence of wind speed and solar radiation on the production of electrical energy from these renewable sources. The problem of implementing prediction models is addressed by using the embedding-phase-space approach: a powerful technique for the modeling of complex systems. Readers are also guided in applying the main machine learning techniques for classification of the patterns hidden in their time series and so will be able to perform statistical analyses that are not possible by using conventional techniques...The conceptual exposition avoids unnecessary mathematical details and focuses on concrete examples in order to ensure a better understanding of the proposed techniques..Results are well-illustrated by figures and tables.
出版日期Book 2016
关键词Time-Series Analysis; Renewable Energy; Solar Radiation; Wind Power; Integration of Generating Capacity
版次1
doihttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-38764-2
isbn_softcover978-3-319-38763-5
isbn_ebook978-3-319-38764-2Series ISSN 2191-5520 Series E-ISSN 2191-5539
issn_series 2191-5520
copyrightThe Author(s) 2016
The information of publication is updating

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Prediction Models for Solar Radiation and Wind Speed Time Series, time series. Furthermore, tools to identify the model parameters using both the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and the feed-forward neural networks (FFNN) approaches are outlined. Finally, it is described how model performances can be objectively assessed.
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Modeling Hourly Average Wind Speed Time Series,ed. For all modeling trials, data recorded during 2004 and 2005 was considered to identify the model parameters while the 2006 was reserved to test the model. Performances have been evaluated in terms of ., . and skill index, in comparison with the . persistent model.
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