Titlebook: Measuring Business Cycles in Economic Time Series; Regina Kaiser,Agustín Maravall Book 2001 Springer Science+Business Media New York 2001

破译

令人作呕

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Introduction and Brief Summary,ring the variation of the series within a range of frequencies, after the series has been seasonally adjusted and detrended. (Burns and Mitchell suggested a range of frequencies associated with cycles with a period between, roughly, two and eight years.)

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过滤

A Brief Review of Applied Time Series Analysis,that the procedure presents several drawbacks which, as shown, can be seriously reduced by incorporating some time series analysis tools, such as ARIMA models and signal extraction techniques. Before proceeding further, it will prove convenient to review some concepts and tools of applied time series analysis.

Modicum

Book 2001Moore (1991), Stock and Watson (1993), and Hamilton (1994) and (1989). Although the first approach is known to present serious limitations,the new and more sophisticated methods developed in the second approach (most notably, multivariate and nonlinear extensions) are at an early stage, and have pro

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Improving the Hodrick-Prescott Filter,emoved, but a large amount of noise remains in the signal, making its reading and the dating of turning points difficult. In the next two sections, we proceed to show how these two shortcomings can be reduced with some relatively simple modifications.

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0930-0325 rom slowly evolving secular trends, and rapidly varying seasonal or irregular components?" Be that as it may, it is a fact that measuring (in some way) the busi978-0-387-95112-6978-1-4613-0129-5Series ISSN 0930-0325 Series E-ISSN 2197-7186

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