Titlebook: Making Better Decisions; Balancing Conflictin Pekka J. Korhonen,Jyrki Wallenius Book 2020 Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2020 Decision supp

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草率男

Beware of Decision Traps: The World of Certainty,decisions were made—the alternatives were not clearly defined, the right information was not collected, the costs and benefits were not accurately weighed. But sometimes the fault lies not in the decision-making process but rather in the mind of the decision-maker. The way the human brain works can

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Beware of Decision Traps: The World of Uncertainty,r decision-making, it is critical that such forecasts are as accurate as possible. Humans are notoriously not very good with probabilities. The technical term is that they are not necessarily well-calibrated probability assessors. The only way to improve oneself as a forecaster is to get feedback on

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A Picture Is Worth a Thousand Words,n alternatives, in particular, when there are many criteria and many alternatives. It is much easier for the decision-maker to have a holistic view of the situation, if instead of (or in addition to) numeric information, suitable visualization techniques are used.

inspiration

Choosing Among Known Alternatives,to be known and available. Central to such approaches is the need to make tradeoffs. A classic example of a tradeoff is investing in stock market, where you must decide how much expected profits you desire and what risks you are willing to take. The higher risks you are willing to take, the higher i

dura-mater

Need for Decision Support Systems,cision support systems, which heavily use computer-graphics. At the time they each represented state-of-the-art technology. We describe the VICO system based on harmonious houses, and the VIMDA system based on line graphs. Both systems support decisions, where we can list all alternatives. The third

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verdict

积习难改

hat das Schlagwort „Die Französische Revolution ist beendet“ zum Thema seiner revisionistischen Kampagne gemacht, die in den siebziger Jahren einsetzte. Die Zweihundertjahrfeier konnte denn auch zum Anlaß genommen werden, zu überprüfen, was in der Erinnerung an die Revolution wirklich lebendig gebl