Titlebook: Judgment in Predictive Analytics; Matthias Seifert Book 2023 The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to S

CYN

The Wisdom of Timely Crowdsasting competition, where volunteer non-professional forecasters predicted multiple geopolitical events with time horizons of several weeks or months, as well as data from the European Central Bank’s Survey of Professional Forecasters which includes only a few select macroeconomic indices, but much

EXCEL

Supporting Judgment in Predictive Analytics: Scenarios and Judgmental Forecastsan underestimation of the extent of uncertainty associated with forecasts, but a greater acceptance of model-based point predictions. These findings are generally supported by the results of a behavioral experiment that we report. This study was used to examine the effects of scenario tone and extre

镶嵌细工

Incorporating External Factors into Time Series Forecastsre now analytical techniques that enable disturbances caused by external events to be incorporated into time series forecasting. Some of these models are transparent: the features of the data that they extract and the way in which they are processed is made explicit. Other models, particularly those

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愚蠢人

s of their CEO compensation based on the suggested framework. Moreover, the author also provides a survey template to help businesses investigate theiremployees’ perception of the fairness of their CEO’s compensation..978-3-030-33556-4978-3-030-33554-0Series ISSN 1431-1941 Series E-ISSN 2197-716X

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Correction to: Performance-Weighted Aggregation: Ferreting Out Wisdom Within the Crowd,