| 书目名称 | Forecasting in the Social and Natural Sciences | | 编辑 | Kenneth C. Land,Stephen H. Schneider | | 视频video | http://file.papertrans.cn/346/345300/345300.mp4 | | 图书封面 |  | | 描述 | Social and natural scientists often are called upon to produce, or participate, in the pro duction of forecasts. This volume assembles essays that (a) describe the organizational and political context of applied forecasting, (b) review the state-of-the-art for many fore casting models and methods, and (c) discuss issues of predictability, the implications of forecaSt errors, and model construction, linkage and verification. The essays should be of particular interest to social and natural scientists concerned with forecasting large-scale systems. This project had its origins in discussions of social forecasts and forecasting method ologies initiated a few years ago by several social and natural science members of the Social Science Research Council‘s Committee on Social Indicators. It became appar ent in these discussions that certain similar problems were confronted in forecasting large-scale systems-be they social or natural. In response, the Committee hypothesized that much could be learned through more extended and systematic interchanges among social and natural scientists focusing on the formal methodologies applied in forecasting. To put this conjecture to the test, the | | 出版日期 | Book 1987 | | 关键词 | Scale; Weather; climate; ecosystem | | 版次 | 1 | | doi | https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-4011-6 | | isbn_softcover | 978-94-010-8279-2 | | isbn_ebook | 978-94-009-4011-6 | | copyright | D. Reidel Publishing Company, Dordrecht, Holland 1987 |
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