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Titlebook: Experts and Consensus in Social Science; Carlo Martini,Marcel Boumans Book 2014 Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2014 Applyin

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发表于 2025-3-21 19:11:17 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
书目名称Experts and Consensus in Social Science
编辑Carlo Martini,Marcel Boumans
视频video
概述Provides an new and unique interdisciplinary approach to expert consensus.Can be used as a handbook on expert consensus.Takes a normative stance on the problem of expertise.Includes supplementary mate
丛书名称Ethical Economy
图书封面Titlebook: Experts and Consensus in Social Science;  Carlo Martini,Marcel Boumans Book 2014 Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2014 Applyin
描述This book brings together the research of philosophers, sociologists, and social scientists. It examines those areas of scientific practice where reliance on the subjective judgment of experts and practitioners is the main source of useful knowledge to address and possibly, bring solutions to social problems. A common phenomenon in applications of science is that objective evidence does not point to a single answer or solution, to a problem. Reliance on subjective judgment, then, becomes necessary, despite the known fact that hunches, even those of putative experts, often provide information that is not very accurate, and that experts are prone to fallacies and biases. The book looks at how experts reach consensus in the social sciences, and which experts are relevant to which problems. It aims to answer many questions, the main one being: Can we start building a normative theory of expertise on the basis of the evidence that social scientists, sociologists and philosophers have uncovered?
出版日期Book 2014
关键词Applying the Neyman-Rubin Model; Attributing Expertise in Uncertain Times; Consensus and Its Critics; C
版次1
doihttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-08551-7
isbn_softcover978-3-319-34319-8
isbn_ebook978-3-319-08551-7Series ISSN 2211-2707 Series E-ISSN 2211-2723
issn_series 2211-2707
copyrightSpringer International Publishing Switzerland 2014
The information of publication is updating

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Model-Based Consensusexpert on the basis of his or her knowledge and ability to judge relevant uncertainties. The measurement of the performance of the experts is based on the expert’s assessment of “seed variables”. These performances are used to determine the weights of the expert’s judgments in the aggregation of the
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The Expert Economist in Times of Uncertaintycent important contributions. The article identifies the main conceptual dilemma associated with the social scientific study of experts, stemming from the emphasis in either the objective or the relational dimension of the phenomenon of expertise. In this article the attributional or relational aspe
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Validating Expert Judgment with the Classical Modelince publication of the TU Delft expert judgment database in 2008, various authors have attempted to use this data base for cross validation, splitting the seed variables into training sets and test sets. These attempts are reviewed. Many pitfalls and biases in cross validation efforts are identifie
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The Truth About Accuracythe term, evaluative judgments about them. We look at operational accuracy as a desirable and evaluable quality of the outcomes and explore how the concepts of accuracy and precision, on the basis of insights borrowed from pragmatics and measurement theory, can be seen to do useful work in epistemol
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Expert Advisers: Why Economic Forecasters Can Be Useful Even When They Are Wrongent reached by those who have studied a topic in great detail. On the other hand, does the very same specialization that confers expert status also mean that the group is unable to consider all alternatives equally? In other words, do the shared analytic models and other practices that expert groups
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