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Titlebook: Exchange Rate Forecasting: Techniques and Applications; Imad A. Moosa Book 2000 Imad A. Moosa 2000 business.exchange rates.time series

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发表于 2025-3-21 20:04:15 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
书目名称Exchange Rate Forecasting: Techniques and Applications
编辑Imad A. Moosa
视频video
丛书名称Finance and Capital Markets Series
图书封面Titlebook: Exchange Rate Forecasting: Techniques and Applications;  Imad A. Moosa Book 2000 Imad A. Moosa 2000 business.exchange rates.time series
描述Forecasting exchange rates is a variable that preoccupies economists, businesses and governments, being more critical to more people than any other variable. In Exchange Rate Forecasting the author sets out to provide a concise survey of the techniques of forecasting - bringing together the various forecasting methods and applying them to the exchange rate in a highly accessible and readable manner. Highly practical in approach, the book provides an understanding of the techniques of forecasting with an emphasis on its applications and use in business decision-making, such as hedging, speculation, investment, financing and capital budgeting. In addition, the author also considers recent developments in the field, notably neural networks and chaos, again, with easy-to-understand explanations of these "rocket science" areas. The practical approach to forecasting is also reflected in the number of examples that pepper the text, whilst descriptions of some of the software packages that are used in practice to generate forecasts are also provided.
出版日期Book 2000
关键词business; exchange rates; time series
版次1
doihttps://doi.org/10.1057/9780230379008
isbn_softcover978-1-349-40871-9
isbn_ebook978-0-230-37900-8Series ISSN 2946-2010 Series E-ISSN 2946-2029
issn_series 2946-2010
copyrightImad A. Moosa 2000
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发表于 2025-3-21 20:41:13 | 显示全部楼层
Exchange Rate Forecasting as an Input in the Decision-making Process,ord of exchange rate forecasters has not been so spectacular and perhaps even appalling. Why then do we need and want formal exchange rate forecasting? Why do we not just toss a coin and save the money and time spent on generating forecasts? The answer is simple: whether we like it or not decision m
发表于 2025-3-22 03:25:26 | 显示全部楼层
Univariate Time Series Techniques, forecast, which in this case is the exchange rate. The term ‘univariate’ implies that forecasting is based on a sample of time series observations of the exchange rate without taking into account the effect of the other variables such as prices and interest rates. The underlying rationale for this
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Market-based Forecasting: The Spot and Forward Exchange Rates,ure point in time. This is called market-based forecasting because the forecasters (the spot and forward rates) are provided by the spot and forward foreign exchange markets. Market-based forecasting rests on two hypotheses: the random walk hypothesis and the unbiased efficiency hypothesis. The rand
发表于 2025-3-22 16:18:41 | 显示全部楼层
Judgemental and Composite Forecasting,implies that the forecaster’s judgement is not involved in generating forecasts. This is not the case, however. On the contrary, sound judgement is an essential component of good forecasting techniques. Moreover, the assumption so far is that forecasts are derived from a single method or model. For
发表于 2025-3-22 18:06:14 | 显示全部楼层
Technical Analysis,led technicians or chartists) record, normally in chart form, historical exchange rates and try to deduce from the pictured history the probable future trend. The basic idea is that exchange rates as observed in the foreign exchange market are determined by supply and demand, and this is all that is
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发表于 2025-3-23 03:52:50 | 显示全部楼层
Recent Developments: Chaos and Neural Networks,t originated in the biological and physical sciences and then were imported to economics and finance. These two topics are dealt with in one chapter not because they are inherently related, but because they are new developments that have some implications for exchange rate forecasting. Indeed, the t
发表于 2025-3-23 08:06:52 | 显示全部楼层
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