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Titlebook: Economics of Pessimism and Optimism; Theory of Knightian Kiyohiko G. Nishimura,Hiroyuki Ozaki Book 2017 Springer Japan KK 2017 Decision th

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发表于 2025-3-21 16:42:29 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
书目名称Economics of Pessimism and Optimism
副标题Theory of Knightian
编辑Kiyohiko G. Nishimura,Hiroyuki Ozaki
视频video
概述Won the 61st Nikkei Prize for Excellent Books in Economic Science 2018.Is the first economics book to extensively argue pessimism and optimism by focusing on Knightian uncertainty.Includes supplementa
图书封面Titlebook: Economics of Pessimism and Optimism; Theory of Knightian  Kiyohiko G. Nishimura,Hiroyuki Ozaki Book 2017 Springer Japan KK 2017 Decision th
描述.This is the first book to investigate individual’s pessimistic and optimistic prospects for the future and their economic consequences based on sound mathematical foundations. The book focuses on fundamental uncertainty called Knightian uncertainty, where the probability distribution governing uncertainty is unknown, and it provides the reader with methods to formulate how pessimism and optimism act in an economy in a strict and unified way. After presenting decision-theoretic foundations for prudent behaviors under Knightian uncertainty, the book applies these ideas to economic models that include portfolio inertia, indeterminacy of equilibria in the Arrow-Debreu economy and in a stochastic overlapping-generations economy, learning, dynamic asset-pricing models, search, real options, and liquidity preferences. The book then proceeds to characterizations of pessimistic (ε-contaminated) and optimistic (ε-exuberant) behaviors under Knightian uncertainty and  people’s inherent pessimism (surprise aversion) and optimism (surprise loving).  Those characterizations are shown to be useful in understanding several observed behaviors in the global financial crisis and in its aftermath.  Th
出版日期Book 2017
关键词Decision theory; Knightian uncertainty; Optimism; Pessimism; Uncertainty
版次1
doihttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-4-431-55903-0
isbn_softcover978-4-431-56725-7
isbn_ebook978-4-431-55903-0
copyrightSpringer Japan KK 2017
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发表于 2025-3-21 21:12:08 | 显示全部楼层
A Simple Characterization of Pessimism and Optimism: ,-Contamination Versus ,-Exuberance,vailable information is not so different among them. People on Main Street often switch from optimism to pessimism and . quite easily even though there may not be noticeable change in their conditions.
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sm by focusing on Knightian uncertainty.Includes supplementa.This is the first book to investigate individual’s pessimistic and optimistic prospects for the future and their economic consequences based on sound mathematical foundations. The book focuses on fundamental uncertainty called Knightian un
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