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Titlebook: Econometric Model Selection; A New Approach Antonio Aznar Grasa Book 1989 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 1989 decision theory.dy

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发表于 2025-3-21 16:41:59 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
书目名称Econometric Model Selection
副标题A New Approach
编辑Antonio Aznar Grasa
视频video
丛书名称Advanced Studies in Theoretical and Applied Econometrics
图书封面Titlebook: Econometric Model Selection; A New Approach Antonio Aznar Grasa Book 1989 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 1989 decision theory.dy
描述This book proposes a new methodology for the selection of one (model) from among a set of alternative econometric models. Let us recall that a model is an abstract representation of reality which brings out what is relevant to a particular economic issue. An econometric model is also an analytical characterization of the joint probability distribution of some random variables of interest, which yields some information on how the actual economy works. This information will be useful only if it is accurate and precise; that is, the information must be far from ambiguous and close to what we observe in the real world Thus, model selection should be performed on the basis of statistics which summarize the degree of accuracy and precision of each model. A model is accurate if it predicts right; it is precise if it produces tight confidence intervals. A first general approach to model selection includes those procedures based on both characteristics, precision and accuracy. A particularly interesting example of this approach is that of Hildebrand, Laing and Rosenthal (1980). See also Hendry and Richard (1982). A second general approach includes those procedures that use only one of the t
出版日期Book 1989
关键词decision theory; dynamic models; econometrics
版次1
doihttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-1358-0
isbn_softcover978-90-481-4051-0
isbn_ebook978-94-017-1358-0Series ISSN 1570-5811 Series E-ISSN 2214-7977
issn_series 1570-5811
copyrightSpringer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 1989
The information of publication is updating

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Artificial Intelligence in Covid-19the corresponding risk function. Within these procedures we can distinguish two groups. The first one consists of those procedures that derive their risk functions assuming that one of the models is the true model. The second one includes those procedures for which the risk functions are obtained assuming in turn that each model is the true one.
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https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-19715-4We will review statistics and selection procedures not introduced in previous Chapters. In the last Section, a new proposal to select among dynamic models is put forward in line with the philosophy of this book.
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Introduction,rve in the real world. Thus, model selection should be performed on the basis of statistics which summarize the degree of accuracy and precision of each model. A model is accurate if it predicts right; it is precise if it produces tight confidence intervals.
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Set of More Informative Models,the corresponding risk function. Within these procedures we can distinguish two groups. The first one consists of those procedures that derive their risk functions assuming that one of the models is the true model. The second one includes those procedures for which the risk functions are obtained assuming in turn that each model is the true one.
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Economic Methodology and Econometrics,irical content to economic reasoning. The accepted assumption is that theories and hypotheses in economics have to be validated by invoking factual evidence. Is this true for all economists? If it is, then is that factual evidence pertinent only to the predictive implications of theories, or to the
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