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Titlebook: Econometric Business Cycle Research; Jan Jacobs Book 1998 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 1998 Simulation.assessment.business.bu

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楼主: radionuclides
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Summary and conclusions,ntation/testing of economic theories. We assess four methods of EBCR: business cycle indicators (BCI), simultaneous equations models (SEM), vector autoregressive systems (VAR) and real business cycle (RBC) models. The first three EBCR methods are illustrated for the economy of the Netherlands.
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Marta S. Contigiani,Luis A. Diazntation/testing of economic theories. We assess four methods of EBCR: business cycle indicators (BCI), simultaneous equations models (SEM), vector autoregressive systems (VAR) and real business cycle (RBC) models. The first three EBCR methods are illustrated for the economy of the Netherlands.
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Marek Szpalski,Robert Gunzburg,Michael Mayerlysis leading indicators and the Netherlands’ central bank (DNB) business cycle indicator. Similarities are striking. Differences occur in the choice of the reference series, the trend filter and the irregular component filter.
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Assessment,. Subsequently, the methods are presented in a formal manner to clarify how they capture business cycles. After that, the methods are judged against our other criteria of assessment: forecasting, policy evaluation, and the role of theory.
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The CCSO composite leading indicator, a BCI of the Netherlands, able to track the past twenty years and produces credible forecasts. We compare our indicator with the CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis leading indicators and the Netherlands’ central bank (DNB) business cycle indicator. Similarities are striking. Differences occur in the choice
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