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Titlebook: Doubly Stochastic Models for Volcanic Hazard Assessment at Campi Flegrei Caldera; Andrea Bevilacqua Book 2016 The Editor(s) (if applicable

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发表于 2025-3-21 19:15:51 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
书目名称Doubly Stochastic Models for Volcanic Hazard Assessment at Campi Flegrei Caldera
编辑Andrea Bevilacqua
视频video
概述Strong inter-disciplinary approach merging Mathematics, Geology and Physics.Comprehensive study of volcanic hazard in a caldera system, including vent location, size of the eruption and time forecasts
丛书名称Publications of the Scuola Normale Superiore
图书封面Titlebook: Doubly Stochastic Models for Volcanic Hazard Assessment at Campi Flegrei Caldera;  Andrea Bevilacqua Book 2016 The Editor(s) (if applicable
描述.This study provides innovative mathematical models for assessing the eruption probability and associated volcanic hazards, and applies them to the Campi Flegrei caldera in Italy. Throughout the book, significant attention is devoted to quantifying the sources of uncertainty affecting the forecast estimates.. .The Campi Flegrei caldera is certainly one of the world’s highest-risk volcanoes, with more than 70 eruptions over the last 15,000 years, prevalently explosive ones of varying magnitude, intensity and vent location. In the second half of the twentieth century the volcano apparently once again entered a phase of unrest that continues to the present. Hundreds of thousands of people live inside the caldera and over a million more in the nearby city of Naples, making a future eruption of Campi Flegrei an event with potentially catastrophic consequences at the national and European levels..
出版日期Book 2016
关键词applied probability; volcanic hazard; volcanology; Campi Flegrei; eruption probability
版次1
doihttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-88-7642-577-6
isbn_softcover978-88-7642-556-1
isbn_ebook978-88-7642-577-6Series ISSN 2239-1460 Series E-ISSN 2532-1668
issn_series 2239-1460
copyrightThe Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerl
The information of publication is updating

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发表于 2025-3-22 00:03:29 | 显示全部楼层
Supporting information,r that are reported all the most important computer codes that were implemented during this study: all of them have been developed in the R software environment (. [135]) and are referred as R-codes. At last there is a list of the principal symbols adopted in this study.
发表于 2025-3-22 01:56:36 | 显示全部楼层
Book 2016again entered a phase of unrest that continues to the present. Hundreds of thousands of people live inside the caldera and over a million more in the nearby city of Naples, making a future eruption of Campi Flegrei an event with potentially catastrophic consequences at the national and European levels..
发表于 2025-3-22 06:40:54 | 显示全部楼层
Understanding Blackness through Performancetural weakening of the surrounding rock, hence overcoming the critical pressure required for the propagation of magma to the surface, opening a vent (or fissure) and erupting (. [146, 102, 149]). A volcano is any geographical feature built by volcanic eruptions (. [144, 52]).
发表于 2025-3-22 11:39:58 | 显示全部楼层
https://doi.org/10.1057/9781137313805in sources of epistemic uncertainty about the volcanic system through a structured expert elicitation, thereby quantifying uncertainties for certain important model parameters and allowing outcomes from different expert weighting models to be evaluated.
发表于 2025-3-22 15:35:48 | 显示全部楼层
发表于 2025-3-22 17:08:52 | 显示全部楼层
Vent opening probability maps,in sources of epistemic uncertainty about the volcanic system through a structured expert elicitation, thereby quantifying uncertainties for certain important model parameters and allowing outcomes from different expert weighting models to be evaluated.
发表于 2025-3-22 22:15:49 | 显示全部楼层
2239-1460 uding vent location, size of the eruption and time forecasts.This study provides innovative mathematical models for assessing the eruption probability and associated volcanic hazards, and applies them to the Campi Flegrei caldera in Italy. Throughout the book, significant attention is devoted to qua
发表于 2025-3-23 04:51:18 | 显示全部楼层
Identification and Documentationlast 15 ka. The flow model describes the PDC kinematics and accounts for main effects of topography on flow propagation. Structured expert elicitation is used to incorporate certain sources of epistemic uncertainty, and a Monte Carlo approach is adopted to produce a set of probabilistic hazard maps for the whole Campi Flegrei area.
发表于 2025-3-23 07:35:00 | 显示全部楼层
Pyroclastic density current invasion maps,last 15 ka. The flow model describes the PDC kinematics and accounts for main effects of topography on flow propagation. Structured expert elicitation is used to incorporate certain sources of epistemic uncertainty, and a Monte Carlo approach is adopted to produce a set of probabilistic hazard maps for the whole Campi Flegrei area.
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