书目名称 | Doubly Stochastic Models for Volcanic Hazard Assessment at Campi Flegrei Caldera |
编辑 | Andrea Bevilacqua |
视频video | |
概述 | Strong inter-disciplinary approach merging Mathematics, Geology and Physics.Comprehensive study of volcanic hazard in a caldera system, including vent location, size of the eruption and time forecasts |
丛书名称 | Publications of the Scuola Normale Superiore |
图书封面 |  |
描述 | .This study provides innovative mathematical models for assessing the eruption probability and associated volcanic hazards, and applies them to the Campi Flegrei caldera in Italy. Throughout the book, significant attention is devoted to quantifying the sources of uncertainty affecting the forecast estimates.. .The Campi Flegrei caldera is certainly one of the world’s highest-risk volcanoes, with more than 70 eruptions over the last 15,000 years, prevalently explosive ones of varying magnitude, intensity and vent location. In the second half of the twentieth century the volcano apparently once again entered a phase of unrest that continues to the present. Hundreds of thousands of people live inside the caldera and over a million more in the nearby city of Naples, making a future eruption of Campi Flegrei an event with potentially catastrophic consequences at the national and European levels.. |
出版日期 | Book 2016 |
关键词 | applied probability; volcanic hazard; volcanology; Campi Flegrei; eruption probability |
版次 | 1 |
doi | https://doi.org/10.1007/978-88-7642-577-6 |
isbn_softcover | 978-88-7642-556-1 |
isbn_ebook | 978-88-7642-577-6Series ISSN 2239-1460 Series E-ISSN 2532-1668 |
issn_series | 2239-1460 |
copyright | The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerl |