书目名称 | Coping with Uncertainty | 副标题 | Robust Solutions | 编辑 | Kurt Marti,Yuri Ermoliev,Marek Makowski | 视频video | | 概述 | Includes supplementary material: | 丛书名称 | Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems | 图书封面 |  | 描述 | .Support for addressing the on-going global changes needs solutions for new scientific problems which in turn require new concepts and tools. A key issue concerns a vast variety of irreducible uncertainties, including extreme events of high multidimensional consequences, e.g., the climate change. The dilemma is concerned with enormous costs versus massive uncertainties of extreme impacts. Traditional scientific approaches rely on real observations and experiments. Yet no sufficient observations exist for new problems, and "pure" experiments, and learning by doing may be expensive, dangerous, or impossible. In addition, the available historical observations are often contaminated by past actions, and policies. Thus, tools are presented for the explicit treatment of uncertainties using "synthetic" information composed of available "hard" data from historical observations, the results of possible experiments, and scientific facts, as well as "soft" data from experts‘ opinions, and scenarios.. | 出版日期 | Book 2010 | 关键词 | Frames; Modelling Uncertainty; Optimal Decision under Uncertainty; Robust Optimal Solution; Technical Sy | 版次 | 1 | doi | https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-03735-1 | isbn_softcover | 978-3-642-03734-4 | isbn_ebook | 978-3-642-03735-1Series ISSN 0075-8442 Series E-ISSN 2196-9957 | issn_series | 0075-8442 | copyright | Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2010 |
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