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Titlebook: China‘s Macroeconomic Outlook; Quarterly Forecast a Center for Macroeconomic Research of Xiamen Univer Book 2014 Springer-Verlag Berlin Hei

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Introduction,clines in the growth rate of value added of industry and GDP over the last 3 years in China. The slowdown of China’s real economy in the first half of 2013 led to a significant decrease in the growth of government revenue, which in turn depressed the growth of government expenditure, especially the
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,A Review of China’s Economy in the First Half of 2013,enue fell sharply because of the sluggish external market demand as well as domestic excess production capacity; the expansion of consumption demand could not continue due to the slowdown in the growth rate of real income of urban and rural residents; therefore, the investment in fixed assets was st
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Policy Simulation,y relying on the exports and investment, could not continue, as the efficiency of economy has been declining. The credit loan increased sharply, and the investment in fixed assets grew smoothly with a slight increase since the first half of 2013. However, the growth rate of GDP was 7.7 % in the firs
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