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Titlebook: Betting Against the Crowd; A Complex Systems Ap Yair Neuman Book 2024 The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive lice

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Fixed Beliefs and Football Fandom: Unraveling the Dynamics of Collective Optimismtifying the crowd’s false beliefs, the individual may gain an edge in betting against it. In this chapter, I analyze the optimism of football fans, point to the important component of chance and uncertainty in reality, and show that beyond skill and chance, the human social collective is influenced
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Unraveling the Complexities of Chronic Armed Conflicts: Patterns, Predictability, and Uncertaintiesty owing to their power law distribution and long tails. An extensive examination of a dataset encompassing the period 2000–2022 shows that the system in question incorporates a long-range memory. However, I suggest using the Tsallis entropy as a measure of system complexity, as this can enhance the
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Mentsh Trakht un Got Lakht: Final Lessons in Individuality and Collective DynamicsIn this brief concluding chapter, I draw upon the film ‘Andrei Rublev’ to exemplify the cost of embracing a free-spirited existence. I also reference the distinctive concept of individuality articulated by ancient Jewish sages, delineate nine key takeaways from the book, and conclude with my grandmother’s timeless adage: ‘Man plans and God laughs.’
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