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Titlebook: Behavioral Decision Analysis; Florian M. Federspiel,Gilberto Montibeller,Matthia Book 2024 The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s)

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Impact stratigraphy in the U-M sequence,avioral biases. In this paper, we examine the different types of biases that may occur when quantifying uncertainty using a process-oriented framework. In particular, we examine the potential biases in each of the major phases of the uncertainty quantification process. Traditionally, most of the lit
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https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0010313n the face of impending change, we are often required to both make accurate predictions about when a regime shift occurs and to change our decisions in response to these shifts. Past research has suggested that people exhibit a systematic bias when it comes to estimating the probability of a regime
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