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Titlebook: Bayesian Analysis and Uncertainty in Economic Theory; Richard M. Cyert,Morris H. DeGroot Book 1987 Richard M. Cyert and Morris H. DeGroot

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期刊全称Bayesian Analysis and Uncertainty in Economic Theory
影响因子2023Richard M. Cyert,Morris H. DeGroot
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图书封面Titlebook: Bayesian Analysis and Uncertainty in Economic Theory;  Richard M. Cyert,Morris H. DeGroot Book 1987 Richard M. Cyert and Morris H. DeGroot
影响因子We began this research with the objective of applying Bayesian methods of analysis to various aspects of economic theory. We were attracted to the Bayesian approach because it seemed the best analytic framework available for dealing with decision making under uncertainty, and the research presented in this book has only served to strengthen our belief in the appropriateness and usefulness of this methodology. More specif­ ically, we believe that the concept of organizational learning is funda­ mental to decision making under uncertainty in economics and that the Bayesian framework is the most appropriate for developing that concept. The central and unifying theme of this book is decision making under uncertainty in microeconomic theory. Our fundamental aim is to explore the ways in which firms and households make decisions and to develop models that have a strong empirical connection. Thus, we have attempted to contribute to economic theory by formalizing models of the actual pro­ cess of decision making under uncertainty. Bayesian methodology pro­ vides the appropriate vehicle for this formalization.
Pindex Book 1987
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Lecture Notes in Computer Sciencetion (Allais 1953; DeGroot 1970; Allais and Hagen 1979). Attempts to allow for such inconsistencies in the choices of a decision maker have led to the development of stochastic models of choice behavior and the notion of a stochastic utility function (Luce and Suppes 1965; Manski and McFadden 1981).
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Lecture Notes in Computer Scienceian learning into expectations and then demonstrate for three different models how this learning might work in achieving a market equilibrium. Our third model leads to an alternative meaning of the term rational expectations.
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Adaptive Utility,tion (Allais 1953; DeGroot 1970; Allais and Hagen 1979). Attempts to allow for such inconsistencies in the choices of a decision maker have led to the development of stochastic models of choice behavior and the notion of a stochastic utility function (Luce and Suppes 1965; Manski and McFadden 1981).
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Lecture Notes in Computer Scienceg decisions in accordance with a profit-maximizing model. One exception to this statement is the book by Bower (1970), which contains an empirical study of the allocation of resources to capital expenditures within firms.
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