Titlebook: Apocalypse When?; Calculating How Long Willard Wells Book 2009 Praxis 2009 End of the World.Eschatology book.Human Survivability.Random var

CHORD

书目名称Apocalypse When?影响因子(影响力)




书目名称Apocalypse When?影响因子(影响力)学科排名




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书目名称Apocalypse When?网络公开度学科排名




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书目名称Apocalypse When?被引频次学科排名




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书目名称Apocalypse When?读者反馈学科排名

heterodox

Double jeopardy, asteroid is just as likely to strike one year as another, its risk gauge runs at a constant rate; in other words it is a clock. For man-made risks, the virtual gauge is some imprecise measure of modern hazardous activity. It indicates serious danger due to our extreme inexperience—only a half centu

objection

https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4614-6271-2aching some essential singularity [an abnormal mathematical point] in the history of the race beyond which human affairs, as we know them, could not continue.” Another math professor, Vernor Vinge, well known for his science fiction, picked up the concept. He began lecturing about the . during the 1

Vertical

细颈瓶

John Schmeelk,Djurdjica Takači,Arpad TakačiLet us begin by examining the most basic formula for an entity’s survival. The equation gives its decreasing probability of survival starting at birth. For a stage production that would be curtain time on opening night. Later we shall adjust that formula to give the entity’s survival probabiliy starting at a later time when it is observed alive.

态度暖昧

极端的正确性

Sequences and Series of Functions,We may be the only humanoid species in our galaxy, or we may be one of millions. In any case, let us pretend that a substantial number have come and gone. This lets us use their presumed existence to retain ordinary concepts of statistical ensembles.

难取悦

上坡

Formulation,Let us begin by examining the most basic formula for an entity’s survival. The equation gives its decreasing probability of survival starting at birth. For a stage production that would be curtain time on opening night. Later we shall adjust that formula to give the entity’s survival probabiliy starting at a later time when it is observed alive.

有特色

Confirmation,Figure 6 shows a logic diagram that traces our progress so far and what to expect in Chapter 2. A continuation of this diagram, Figure 18 in Chapter 3, will complete the logic for predicting human survival.