| 期刊全称 | An Essay on the Principle of Sustainable Population | | 影响因子2023 | Toshihiko Hara | | 视频video | | | 发行地址 | Focuses on the future of the global population in the post-demographic transition period.Clarifies the principle of sustainable population and the dynamics of demographic transition.Discusses recoveri | | 学科分类 | SpringerBriefs in Population Studies | | 图书封面 |  | | 影响因子 | .This book focuses on the future of the global population and proposes revising Malthus’ Law. The United Nations estimates that the global population will top 11 billion by 2100, at which point its growth will be near an end: it will find a new equilibrium in a long demographic transition from high birth and death rates to low ones...However, the author reviews the fertility developments reported in the .World Population Prospects 2017., which are near or below the replacement level in most regions, with the important exception of Sub-Saharan Africa, and warns of a possible scenario of the extinction of human society. Returning to Malthus, his .Essay on the Principle of Population. is critically reconsidered. Simple simulations show that exponential growth and decay are unsustainable beyond the narrow ranges of the net reproduction rate. In addition, the length of reproduction periods, which depends on women’s lifespans, plays a pivotal role. The limits of growth are given in any case, to the extent that time and space will permit..From this perspective, teleological conditions such as instinct, passion, or even natural reproductive tendencies are irrelevant and unnecessary. When | | Pindex | Book 2020 |
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发表于 2025-3-21 19:53:15
