| 期刊全称 | Affective Decision Making Under Uncertainty | | 期刊简称 | Risk, Ambiguity and | | 影响因子2023 | Donald J. Brown | | 视频video | | | 发行地址 | Explores the ubiquity of ambiguity in decision-making under uncertainty.Presents various essays on behavioral economics and behavioral finance that draw on the theory of Black Swans.Argues for a disti | | 学科分类 | Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems | | 图书封面 |  | | 影响因子 | .This book is an exploration of the ubiquity of ambiguity in decision-making under uncertainty. It presents various essays on behavioral economics and behavioral finance that draw on the theory of Black Swans (Taleb 2010), which argues for a distinction between unprecedented events in our past and unpredictable events in our future. The defining property of Black Swan random events is that they are unpredictable, i.e., highly unlikely random events. In this text, Mandelbrot’s (1972) operational definition of risky random unpredictable events is extended to Black Swan assets – assets for which the cumulative probability distribution or conditional probability distribution of random future asset returns is a power distribution. Ambiguous assets are assets for which the uncertainties of future returns are not risks. Consequently, there are two disjoint classes of Black Swan assets: Risky Black Swan assets and Ambiguous Black Swan assets, a new class of ambiguous assets withunpredictable random future outcomes..The text is divided into two parts, the first of which focuses on affective moods, introduces affective utility functions and discusses the ambiguity of Black Swans. The second | | Pindex | Textbook 2020 |
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发表于 2025-3-21 16:27:46
