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Titlebook: A simulation approach to the study of human fertility; Gigi Santow Book 1978 Netherlands Interuniversity Demographic Institute (N.I.D.I.)

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期刊全称A simulation approach to the study of human fertility
影响因子2023Gigi Santow
视频video
学科分类Publications of the Netherlands Interuniversity Demographic Institute (NIDI) and the Population and
图书封面Titlebook: A simulation approach to the study of human fertility;  Gigi Santow Book 1978 Netherlands Interuniversity Demographic Institute (N.I.D.I.)
影响因子This book is an amended and somewhat shorter version of my doctoral thesis which I submitted to the Australian National University in 1976, and subsequently edited at the Netherlands Interuniversity Demographic Institute in 1977. The work falls naturally into two parts. The first is concerned with the construction and validation of a model, and the second with its application as an experimental tool. In the first part, comprising Chapters One to Four, an examination of historical and contemporary models of population growth led to the decision to study changes in fertility by means of a biological micro simulation model. The reasons supporting the choice of such a model were discussed, and a search of the literature produced the data to be used as model input. The effects of varying the input were examined and then the model output was tested against Hutterite data. The main emphasis of the second part of the work, comprising Chapters Five to Seven, was the testing of the effect on the fertility of one society of variations in the duration of the post partum period of non-susceptibility to conception, and in the level of infant and child mortality. Further simulations were performe
Pindex Book 1978
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Tosiyasu L. Kunii,Yukari Shirotations that this entails; in the second case, we consider the type of input data (distributions of marriage age, choice functions) which such a model requires. The availability of data in the latter instance must determine the choice of a model type in the former. Despite the relationship, these are separate problems, and have been treated as such.
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Application Development Systemste population. The results of that first simulation carry the warning that superficially pleasing output can be obtained through a fortunate but quite accidental combination of second-rate input data, and this chapter is presented as an answer to that warning.
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Book 1978uently edited at the Netherlands Interuniversity Demographic Institute in 1977. The work falls naturally into two parts. The first is concerned with the construction and validation of a model, and the second with its application as an experimental tool. In the first part, comprising Chapters One to
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Tosiyasu L. Kunii,Yukari Shirotaor this reason that a note of warning, in the guise of this introduction, is used to preface the body of the chapter. I have tried to stress the limitations inherent in almost every set of data, limitations arising both from the nature of the study by means of which the data were obtained, and from the very nature of the actual data.
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