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Titlebook: A Primer of Judgment and Decision Making; Richard Tunney Textbook 2024 The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive li

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发表于 2025-3-21 17:24:16 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
期刊全称A Primer of Judgment and Decision Making
影响因子2023Richard Tunney
视频videohttp://file.papertrans.cn/142/141889/141889.mp4
发行地址Intended as a primer that covers the foundational research material at an introductory level.Narrative arc throughout the book places the content into a broader historical and theoretical context.Stro
图书封面Titlebook: A Primer of Judgment and Decision Making;  Richard Tunney Textbook 2024 The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive li
影响因子.The book is intended as a primer and discusses the main areas within judgment and decision making. However, these topics are not siloed. Instead, a narrative arc throughout the book has a higher level of critical appraisal of the key concepts and how they relate to some of the big questions about the nature of human rationality. The book begins by introducing two perspectives on rationality. The first describes how we decide on the goodness of a decision. This is a surprisingly recent concept called Rational Choice Theory, which was formed from a collection of books written around the time of the Second World War, that deal with how we think about risk as a probability and goodness as utility. In short, Rational Choice Theory argues that to be rational, people should always make the decision that maximizes subjective expected utility. The book goes on to describe the consensus view that emerged in the late 1960s and came to dominate our thinking about decision making, namely that people rarely make rational decisions. In fact, many Nobel prizes have been handed out for work showing that humans are not rational creatures (e.g. Daniel Kahneman, Richard Thaler, Robert Shiller). The b
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978-3-031-56974-6The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerl
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https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-75765-8ned by how it is made. We judge the quality of a decision by whether or not it meets the normative expectations of rational choice theory. Historically, this meant that decisions should be made to maximize personal wealth or that we should choose the options that have the highest value. However, peo
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https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-75765-8sion-making. This chapter discusses a research programme by Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky based on the idea that people often make decisions using simple heuristics. These heuristics systematically bias people to make the same kind of mistakes. The end of the chapter discusses prospect theory, wh
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