| 书目名称 | Uncertainty and Quality in Science for Policy |
| 编辑 | Silvio O. Funtowicz,Jerome R. Ravetz |
| 视频video | |
| 丛书名称 | Theory and Decision Library A: |
| 图书封面 |  |
| 描述 | 60 -I 137.0~29 ERROR BARS • tONE (1" 4 E a. a. Z30 137.0388 0 137.0377 ~ ~20 0 to 0 ‘50 Fig.1. Successive recommended values of the fine-structure constand IX-I (B. N. Taylor et 01., 1969,7) reminder that the value is not fully accepted by colleagues, since they will expect it to jump about for a while longer. Our next example is taken from a recent study in the social sciences. It shows how a set of related estimates of uncertainty can be expressed clearly and effectively by NUSAP. Suppose that we wish to forecast what the future price of a basic commodity might be, especially when at the moment its price is artificially maintained by a cartel of producers. There is no experimental evidence on such a future contingency, and yet we are not completely in the dark. There is a long history of expertise in the field; and there is a well-tried standard model by which experts‘ guesses can be translated into mathematical form. |
| 出版日期 | Book 1990 |
| 关键词 | ETA; algorithms; calculus; evaluation; language; management; mathematics; policy; probability; production; qua |
| 版次 | 1 |
| doi | https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-0621-1 |
| isbn_softcover | 978-94-010-6766-9 |
| isbn_ebook | 978-94-009-0621-1Series ISSN 0921-3384 Series E-ISSN 2352-2119 |
| issn_series | 0921-3384 |
| copyright | Kluwer Academic Publishers 1990 |
发表于 2025-3-21 17:09:03
