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Titlebook: Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling and Prediction; 6th International Co Ariel M. Greenberg,William G. Kennedy,Nathan D. Bo Conf

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楼主: 预兆前
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The Marketcast Method for Aggregating Prediction Market Forecastsstimates, and simple aggregation methods. The performance of marketcasts is compared to a traditional prediction market and a traditional opinion poll. Overall, marketcasts perform approximately as well as prediction markets and opinion poll methods on most questions, and performance is stable across model specifications.
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Influence and Power in Group Interactionsership, influence, pursuit of power and group cohesion. We have developed a two-tier approach that relies on observable and computable linguistic features of conversational text to make predictions about sociolinguistic behaviors such as Topic Control and Disagreement, that speakers deploy in order
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Peer Nominations and Its Relation to Interactions in a Computer Game collected by asking participants to select a fixed number of peers, which in turn are all considered for the analysis with the same strength. In this paper, we explore several different ways of measuring the popularity of peers by taking into consideration not only the nominations themselves but th
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Predicting Personality Using Novel Mobile Phone-Based Metricsogy-informed indicators that can be computed from data available to all carriers, we were able to predict users’ personality with a mean accuracy across traits of 42% better than random, reaching up to 61% accuracy on a three-class problem. Given the fast growing number of mobile phone subscription
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