书目名称 | Risk, Organizations, and Society | 编辑 | Martin Shubik (Seymour H. Knox Professor) | 视频video | | 丛书名称 | Studies in Risk and Uncertainty | 图书封面 |  | 描述 | Growth of the electric industry Electric generating stations and the associated transmission and distribu tion systems are high ticket items as are the costs of fuel and of operating the industry. The country presently spends about $150 billion annually on electricity. It is the country‘s largest industry, with assets of over $400 billion (Edison Electric Institute Statistical Year book, 1985). The country‘s electric generating capacity and the end use of electricity grew exponentially for about 70 years, starting at the beginning of the century, with a doubling period of roughly seven years (see figurelO-1). Over much of this period electric utility planning could simply consist of laying a ruler on such a logarithmic plot. The utilities could then, know ing plant construction times, write out purchase orders. Improvements in power generating technology allowed electric rates to decline, which permitted the market to expand to accommodate the additional supply. The prospective growth was a heady vision and provided much of the stimulus for the supporters of nuclear power. An example of such extra polation made in 1971 is shown in figure 10-2 (The U. S. Energy Problem, 1971). An | 出版日期 | Book 1991 | 关键词 | calculus; growth; risk analysis; utility | 版次 | 1 | doi | https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-2207-5 | isbn_softcover | 978-94-010-7490-2 | isbn_ebook | 978-94-009-2207-5Series ISSN 0926-972X | issn_series | 0926-972X | copyright | Kluwer Academic Publishers 1991 |
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