| 书目名称 | Navigating Uncertainty Using Foresight Intelligence |
| 副标题 | A Guidebook for Scop |
| 编辑 | Bruce Garvey,Adam D. M. Svendsen |
| 视频video | |
| 概述 | Provides balanced, evidence-based insights on disruptive technologies.Contains experimental and hands-on demonstrator mini-case studies.Navigates the evolving landscape of Gen-AI with insights that le |
| 丛书名称 | Management for Professionals |
| 图书封面 |  |
| 描述 | .This book brings together a diverse range of findings on current and emerging business concerns when the authors were developing a series of 12 working Analytic Research Consortium (ARC) White Papers. It presents several, differently configured scenarios, drawing on cyber as an example; the use and further optimization of estimative/probabilistic language; communicating analytical insights and other findings concerning ‘(un)certainty’ to decision-maker end-users; and mitigating risk. It also evaluates in detail today’s rapidly evolving Gen-AI systems and technologies, e.g. those underlying OpenAI’s ChatGPT and Google’s Bard/Gemini. This includes their respective value concerning scenario development and other business-relevant methods, tools and techniques, e.g. ‘Red Teaming’. The topics discussed are assessed using the multi-methodologies of, firstly, ‘Intelligence Engineering’ (IE) and, secondly, ‘Strategic Options Analysis’ (SOA). The latter half of the book introduces an alternative scenario planning process, including use of new computer-software and AI tools. In addition to Gen-AI, we identify that the emerging discipline of Causal AI may work better for foresight and scenar |
| 出版日期 | Book 2024 |
| 关键词 | Uncertainty; Decision making; Foresight; Intelligence analysis; Risk mitigation; Cyber; Generative AI (Gen |
| 版次 | 1 |
| doi | https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-66115-0 |
| isbn_softcover | 978-3-031-66117-4 |
| isbn_ebook | 978-3-031-66115-0Series ISSN 2192-8096 Series E-ISSN 2192-810X |
| issn_series | 2192-8096 |
| copyright | The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerl |
发表于 2025-3-21 17:17:33
